I’m a little late getting this article out but fortunately the game that matters doesn’t start until 4pm EST. Among a few other games I like (See below) Duke travels to Louisville for an ACC clash of two storied programs. The last time Duke made the trip to the Yum! Center here’s what happened…

This year is a bit different though. Duke has far less star power this year and currently sits unranked at 5-4. Despite their struggles, this is actually the first game Duke is an underdog this season. The line opened at Louisville -2.5 but has since moved to -3. Whatever the line, I am all over Louisville in this game.

I’ll preface this by saying I am a Duke fan, so I am certainly not a “hater,” but this Duke team is bad. Now obviously “bad” is a relative term, Duke would still beat most teams in the country, but compared to the Duke standard this might be the worst team Coach K has ever had. Duke currently has a 24 year streak of making the NCAA tournament, a that streak is very much in jeopardy this year, and Coach K knows it.

An “all-inclusive” tournament, are you serious Mike? It’s one of the most ridiculous things I’ve ever heard. But, it does lead you to believe that Coach K knew coming into this season that his team wouldn’t be very good.

Currently Duke is shooting, 44.6% from the field, 66.7% from the foul line and 33.3% from three. Pretty atrocious. In contrast, Louisville shoots 47% from the field and 73.7% from the foul line. The Cardinals are not a great three-point shooting team either, only 32.3% on the season, but they have the advantage in almost every other aspect of this game. Both teams are coming off back to back losses so there should be no motivation issues and considering Louisville is the better team, playing at home, this was a pretty easy pick. I also like the under in this game. As I mentioned, neither team shoots very well from deep.

Obviously Louisville is my main pick of the day but I’ve listed a few more games below that I like as well.

Duke at Louisville (-3) for 2 units and Under 141.5 for 1 unit

Idaho St (+2.5) at Portland St for 1 unit

Boston U at Lafayette (-6.5) for 1 unit

I actually like Idaho State money line as well but I decided to play conservative today and took the 2.5 points. Idaho St is 8-6 overall, 5-2 in Big Sky conference play, and literally just beat Portland St by seven points two days ago. Portland St is 2-8 and 1-4 in the Big Sky so it really doesn’t make sense that they are laying points here. I realize they are the home team but as I just mentioned, Idaho St just beat them at home. Unless something weird happens in this game Idaho St should win outright again.

The third game on the slate that I like is Lafayette -6.5 at home against Boston U. Both teams have only played conference games, Boston is 1-5 and Lafayette is 5-1. Boston is also 0-6 against the spread whereas Lafayette is 5-1. Lafayette is just flat out better and should have no problem covering 6.5.

There are a couple more games that I like today but not enough to recommend them. Stay tuned though, this betting article may become a daily thing. From Thanksgiving until December 11th I was up about 45 units before cashing out, so for anyone skeptical or wondering why you should trust these picks, I have a very solid track record. Be sure to follow me on Twitter and Instagram (@dawg1018) for any late updates or live bet recommendations as well. Good luck everyone and let’s make some money!